Ahead of the storm risk, I wouldn’t cancel any plans. Spotty shower Friday evening & Saturday. Muggy, warm & windy. Coastal flooding(tides 1-3+ft above normal) likely to remain the main issue.
Storm Prediction Center has placed a Slight to Enhanced Risk(Level 2 to Level 3 out of 5) for severe storms Saturday night-Sunday morning. Greatest risk across Western Louisiana & the ArkLaTex. Damaging winds, few tornadoes possible. Isolated stronger tornado risk.
Model guidance suggests some weakening of this complex of storms possible as it heads east towards southeast Louisiana. If that happens, our severe threat would be lower.
However, I’m not sold on the line of storms completely falling apart. Gusty winds 45-60mph is the primary risk with an isolated tornado threat. Behind the line of storms, some lingering showers Sunday night-Monday morning. Much cooler and drier next week! It’s looking downright gorgeous for French Quarter Festivals, Inc (and my wedding reception!
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