SPC Outlook: Above is a look at the outlooks from SPC and WPC for the upcoming week. You will notice that our next best chance of seeing more widespread storms will once again be on Sunday. As of right now, SPC shows a slight severe weather risk for all of the area.
Threat not set in stone: There are some uncertainties in how Sunday’s storms could play out. A lot will depend on where the storms develop. As of right now, it appears that the best chance of severe weather will be over the southeastern half of the area in E TX, and NW LA. There seems to be decent model agreement that this is where Sunday’s storms will form. However, you can see in the map above that we will have plenty of instability over ALL of our area. Consequently, we will have to watch model trends in the days leading up to the weekend. If we do see severe storms develop, all threats will be possible including tornadoes.
How much rain? Believe it or not, much of the ArkLaTex has received below-normal rainfall for the first three months of 2025. Much of the area could use some rain. While it appears that we will get some with the many disturbances headed our way. The latest outlook from WPC for the next 7 days is a bit drier than previous outlooks. The Blend of Models shows that most of the area could see close to 1″.
10-Day Forecast: Your 10-day forecast shows that we will see above-normal temperatures stick around through this weekend and all of next week. Highs most days will be in the 70s and 80s. We could flirt with 90 degrees in spots on Tuesday. Overnight lows will remain in the 50s and 60s. We will see several disturbances move our us from now through next Thursday. The first will bring a chance of rain on Tuesday night and Wednesday. Rain is looking promising again on Friday and a few thunderstorms will be possible this weekend on both Saturday and Sunday. We should begin next week with plenty of sunshine. More rain will be possible during the middle of next week.
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