
“Gas prices have seen a notable weekly drop in most states as seasonal factors ramp up their impact — namely the switch to cheaper winter gasoline and falling gasoline demand,” said Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy. “Price cycling markets led the way with significant declines in Ohio, Florida, and Michigan, while Indiana experienced a price cycle that resulted in the largest weekly increase of any state last week. For now, seasonal factors will remain the primary driver of relief at the pump, though we continue to monitor the tropics for any potential disruptions.”
OIL MARKET DYNAMICS
Oil prices saw a rebound last week, with sanctions and geopolitical tensions weighing on prices as U.S. President Trump called on NATO countries to impose additional sanctions on Russian energy, suggesting that Ukraine could take back all its land from Russia. However, with OPEC+ members considering a further increase in oil supply for November, oil prices began the new trading week off recent highs. In overnight trade, WTI crude oil was off 53 cents per barrel to $65.19 per barrel, up from last Monday’s $61.98 per barrel mark, while Brent crude oil was also down in overnight trade, falling 46 cents to $69.67 per barrel, up from last Monday’s $66.08 per barrel start. With OPEC expected to announce an additional production hike for November, oil markets face a heightened risk of oversupply during the North American winter, a period when demand typically weakens. “Oil prices had been supported by the ongoing attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, with rising concerns that it could impact Russian oil exports and keep the market tight,” said Giovanni Staunovo, UBS commodities analyst, in an e-mail. “Supply additions among OPEC+ member countries with production cuts have lagged quota increases. This trend is likely to continue in November if the group opts next weekend to increase the quota further, as only a few members within that group hold spare capacity.”
OIL AND REFINED PRODUCT SUPPLIES
The EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending September 19, 2025, showed U.S. oil inventories fell by 0.6 million barrels, and are about 4% below the seasonal average for this time of year, while the SPR rose 200,000 barrels to 406.0 million. Gasoline inventories fell by 1.1 million barrels and stand about 2% below the five-year seasonal average, while distillate inventories fell by 1.7 million barrels and are about 8% below the five-year seasonal average. Refinery utilization fell 0.3 percentage points to 93.0%, while implied gasoline demand, EIA’s proxy for retail demand, rose 149,000 bpd to 8.959 million barrels per day.
GAS PRICE TRENDS
The most common U.S. gas price encountered by motorists stood at $2.89 per gallon, down 10 cents from last week, followed by $2.79, $2.99, $2.69, and $3.09, rounding out the top five most common prices.
The median U.S. gas price is $2.92 per gallon, down 7 cents from last week and about 17 cents lower than the national average.
The top 10% of stations in the country average $4.62 per gallon, while the bottom 10% average $2.50 per gallon.
The states with the lowest average prices: Oklahoma ($2.53), Mississippi ($2.65), and Louisiana ($2.67).
The states with the highest average prices: California ($4.64), Washington ($4.54), and Hawaii ($4.41).
Biggest weekly changes: Ohio (-17.2¢), Florida (-14.5¢), Michigan (-14.1¢), Colorado (-12.1¢), Delaware (-10.9¢)
DIESEL PRICE TRENDS
The most common U.S. diesel price stood at $3.69 per gallon, up 10 cents from last week, followed by $3.59, $3.49, $3.39, and $3.79, rounding out the top five most common prices.
The median U.S. diesel price is $3.58 per gallon, down 1 cent from last week and about 7 cents lower than the national average.
Diesel prices at the top 10% of stations in the country average $4.91 per gallon, while the bottom 10% average $3.00 per gallon.
The states with the lowest average diesel prices: Texas ($3.14), Oklahoma ($3.23), and Mississippi ($3.25).
The states with the highest average diesel prices: Hawaii ($5.13), California ($5.13), and Washington ($5.05).
Biggest weekly changes: Indiana (+9.1¢), Iowa (-8.5¢), New Mexico (-7.5¢), Colorado (-6.3¢), North Carolina (+6.2¢)
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