A distant worry in the Atlantic?

SHREVEPORT, La. (KTAL/KMSS) -We likely won’t have many weather worries here in the ArkLaTex from now through next week.  Long-range models are starting to occasionally hint that a strong tropical disturbance could be near the Gulf in a few weeks.

Tropical worries: The National Hurricane Center continues to watch three tropical disturbances in the Atlantic.  It appears that none of these will come close to the Gulf.  That could change in a couple of weeks.  For the past few days, the EURO model has been pointing to a potent tropical system moving through the Caribbean and headed toward the Gulf a few weeks from now. Overnight model runs from it, and the GFS model showed something similar.  Given that we are talking about something that is two weeks away, you’d expect some changes in model outlooks from run to run.

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We saw just that with the morning runs of these two models.  Both now show this ‘potential’ hurricane turning to the north and not threatening the Gulf or US coasts.  The point in telling you this is that it’s looking somewhat promising that a potential hurricane could eventually be in the works, and if it does, it will have to be watched closely!

Heat worries:  Our biggest concern here at home in the next ten days will be the heat and humidity, with daytime temperatures settling into the mid to upper 90s.  The heat index will be approaching 105 degrees.

Severe weather worries:  Severe weather will likely not be an issue for the ArkLaTex, even though models are a little more optimistic on rain potential next week.

Weather Worry Index for the next 10 days:  2 out of 10: Today’s WWI for the next ten days will remain at 2 out of 10.  Be sure to continue to respect the August heat.