Latest on possible storms late next week

SHREVEPORT, La. (KTAL/KMSS) –  After experiencing below-normal temperatures this weekend, much warmer air will quickly return.  With that warm air in place, two disturbances late next week could bring a threat of storms.  The majority of models show that the best chance of severe weather will be to the east of the ArkLaTex. 

Disturbance #1 Wednesday:  Not much has changed in the outlook with a disturbance that will bring rain and possibly storms to our area on Wednesday.  Most models show showers & t’storms developing right over our area and strengthening as they move east Wednesday evening and Wednesday night.  

Disturbance #2 Friday night:  Models have shifted the main upper-level low associated with this disturbance a little further north since yesterday.  The majority of models show that the rain with this system could play out very similarly to Wednesday’s. Showers and t’storms could develop over us Friday evening and strengthen as they move east Friday night and Saturday. This will be a very strong system, so we will have to stay on top of any changes to the location and timing of where Friday’s storms develop.  As of right now, it appears that we could dodge a bullet.  You can see that reflected in the 10-day rainfall outlook from the Blend of Models.  It keeps the total rain during the next ten days below 1”.

10-Day Forecast: Your 10-day forecast shows three disturbances that will bring a chance of rain in the coming week and a half.  The first will be on Saturday, the second on Wednesday, and the third next Friday. IF we see any severe weather, it will likely be with the final disturbance late next week.  Daytime temperatures by then will likely be in the 70s and low 80s.  As of right now, it appears that the best severe weather risk will be to our east.  High temperatures will cool to the 50s & 60s this weekend and warm back into the 70s and low 80s next week. Overnight lows will mainly be in the 40s and 50s.