Red flag warning in May? Fire season arrives early in Northern California

Last year’s devastating wildfire season was barely in the rear-view mirror when the red flag warning hit Sunday for a large swath of Northern California.

In another example of the Golden State’s new normal, the National Weather Service issued a surprisingly early-in-the-year fire alert for the area from Shasta Dam to just north of Los Banos, touching on the eastern fringes of the Bay Area.

By Sunday afternoon, an eerie reminder of the potential danger could be found inside Big Basin Redwoods State Park, where crews battled a small blaze. Big Basin remains closed after 97% of California’s oldest state park was charred last August during the CZU Lightning Complex fire.

The state’s persistent drought, combined with low humidity and strong northeasterly winds Sunday, signaled an early start to the fire season even without the triple-digit temperatures of late summer.

“It’s crazy, May and a red-flag warning,” said Craig Clements, director of the Wildfire Interdisciplinary Research Center at San Jose State University.

BOULDER CREEK, CALIFORNIA – SEPTEMBER 10: Sam Hodder, president and CEO of Save the Redwoods League, tours Big Basin Redwoods State Park with members of the media after the CZU Complex fire in Boulder Creek, Calif., on Thursday, Sept. 10, 2020. (Nhat V. Meyer/Bay Area News Group) 

Experts said Sunday that a confluence of weather phenomena have created a looming hazard the year after a record 4.1 million acres in California were scorched in 2020.

The lack of precipitation has accelerated curing, the annual drying process of brush, trees and grasses. This condition leads to a low fuel-moisture content, which is a measure of the amount of water in vegetation available to a fire.

Once vegetation is cured, atmospheric humidity affects their moisture content instead of soil moisture, Clements said, adding he predicts the levels will be lower than they were last year.

“In a better scenario, we wouldn’t be dealing with this until the traditional fire season in the fall,” NWS meteorologist Gerry Diaz said.

The last time the National Weather Service issued a red flag warning as early as May for Northern California’s interior was in 2014.

LAST CHANCE, CA – OCTOBER 08: Destruction from the CZU Lightning Complex Fire is seen from this drone view along Last Chance Road in Last Chance, Calif., on Thursday, Oct. 8, 2020. The fire destroyed 1,490 structures. (Jane Tyska/Bay Area News Group) 

In many ways, the fire season is year-round now: Firefighters have responded to more than 1,300 blazes since Jan. 1, CalFire officials said. On Saturday, wind-whipped flames of the Southern Fire began burning in eastern San Diego County; by Sunday afternoon, the blaze had consumed some 2,900 acres and led to the destruction of three structures and the evacuation of about 500 residents.

In the Bay Area on Sunday, crews also battled small fires in Pittsburg and Solano County. Cal Fire crews responded to a blaze that burned about three-quarters of an acre on Hihn Hammond Truck Trail in the Santa Cruz Mountains, officials reported.

Small fires have broken out in Big Basin park since the CZU fire destroyed 100 buildings, said Chris Spohrer, Santa Cruz District state parks superintendent. Strong winds can sustain those fires, like the one Sunday.

“With a normal rain year a lot of this would be extinguished,” Spohrer said April 22. “But we just didn’t have that this year.”

LAST CHANCE, CA – OCTOBER 08: Satchel MacLennan surveys the damage on his family’s property in Last Chance, Calif., on Thursday, Oct. 8, 2020. The CZU Lightning Complex Fire destroyed 1,490 structures, including his parent’s home and the cabin he grew up in. (Jane Tyska/Bay Area News Group) 

Spohrer said park officials expect more fires through the summer.

Hours before the Basin Fire ignited, Cal Fire officials had announced an immediate halt to backyard burns in Santa Cruz County. The Santa Cruz-San Mateo unit plans to staff nine or 10 engines by Monday, spokeswoman Cecile Juliette. The unit has 13 engines on duty during peak fire season.

Fire experts are particularly concerned about the lack of recovery for the area’s vegetation. Juliette said recent samples indicate San Mateo County fuels have reached historic lows.

“We’re starting to see fuel moistures we don’t see until later on in summer,” she said.

Warmer spring temperatures, reduced snowpack and earlier snowmelt have colluded to make forests more susceptible to wildfire.

“We must continue to adapt and evolve to be able to withstand the intensity of these fires,” Cal Fire director Thom Porter said in a statement.  “We are relying on the public to be ready.”

The National Weather Service’s Diaz said the situation should not come as a surprise to anyone monitoring the winter’s measly precipitation levels. San Francisco International Airport is 37% of normal rainfall for the year, Diaz said. Oakland is 40%, San Jose 43% and Santa Rosa 37%.

OROVILLE, CALIFORNIA – APRIL 27: Houseboats are dwarfed by the steep banks of Lake Oroville on April 27, 2021 in Oroville, California. Four years after then California Gov. Jerry Brown signed an executive order to lift the California’s drought emergency, the state has re-entered a drought emergency with water levels dropping in the state’s reservoirs. Water levels at Lake Oroville have dropped to 42 percent of its 3,537,577 acre foot capacity. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) 

Last month, the state Department of Water Resources announced that it expects to deliver just 5 percent of requested supplies this year. Bay Area regional water districts have taken different approaches to encourage customers to reduce their usage.

The Sierra Nevada snowpack, which accounts for almost one-third of the state’s water, is also far below normal. State officials reported the snowpack to be 59% of the average for April 1. The tally marked one of the driest years on record but was better than 2020, when it was 54% of normal.

“It seems like summer just hit us all at once,” said CalFire Deputy Chief Nate Armstrong. “We just ask everybody to be very mindful, really safe with everything they’re doing. The vast majority of wildfires that we see are human-caused whether that be intentional or not, you know, or accidental. So everything that people can do to be safe, they should.”

Staff writers George Kelly, Aldo Toledo and Paul Rogers contributed to this report.

Assisted by Ramesh Gautam, left, Sean de Guzman, chief of snow surveys for the California Department of Water Resources, measure the depth of the snowpack during the second snow survey of the season at Phillips Station near Echo Summit, Calif., Wednesday, Feb. 3, 2021. The survey found the snowpack at 63 inches deep with a water content of 17 inches. (AP Photo/Randall Benton) 

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Author: Elliott Almond

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