March 6, 2021

Guess’ Inc. [GES] – Mismatched value and price: Is it Worth Buying?


The share price of Guess’ Inc. [NYSE: GES] inclined by $7.63, presently trading at $7.88. The company’s shares saw 116.48% gains compared to the lowest price in the period of the last 52 weeks, set at 3.64 recorded on 05/07/20. The last few days have been benevolent to the share price as GES fall by -18.40% during the last week, even though the stock is still up by 8.47 compared to -0.29 of all time high it touched on 05/05/20. However, the stock had a poor performance during the past 3 months, roughly losing -7.74%, while additionally dropping -59.22% during the last 12 months. Guess’ Inc. is said to have a 12-month price target set at $10.60. That means that the stock has a strong potential to acquire 2.72% increase from the current trading price.

Guess’ Inc. [NYSE:GES]: Analyst Rating and Earnings

Stock traders often pay close attention what Wall Street analysts have to say about a potential investment. For Guess’ Inc. [GES], the latest consensus recommendation available followed its financial results for the fiscal quarter ending in 1/30/2020. On average, stock market experts give GES an Overweight rating. The average 12-month price forecast for this stock is $7.90, with the high estimate being $17.00, the low estimate being $7.00 and the median estimate amounting to $10.00. This is compared to its latest closing price of $7.63.

Wall Street analysts provide their ratings on a scale of 1 to 5, and the current average score for Guess’ Inc. [GES] is sitting at 4.00. This is compared to 1 month ago, when its average rating was 4.00.

Keep an eye out for the next scheduled publication date for this company’s financial results, which are expected to be released on 05/28/2020.

Fundamental Analysis of Guess’ Inc. [GES]

Now let’s turn to look at profitability: with a current Operating Margin for Guess’ Inc. [GES] sitting at 5.30% and its Gross Margin at 37.90%, this company’s Net Margin is now 3.60. These metrics indicate that this company is not generating as much profit, after accounting for expenses, compared to its market peers.

This company’s Return on Total Capital is 10.35, and its Return on Invested Capital has reached 7.59. Its Return on Equity is 16.50%, and its Return on Assets is 4.00%. These metrics show a mixed bag, which means that this investment’s attractiveness can be quickly increased or decreased in the short term, depending on future updates GES financial performance.

Turning to investigate this organization’s capital structure, Guess’ Inc. [GES] has generated a Total Debt to Total Equity ratio of 186.92. Similarly, its Total Debt to Total Capital is 65.15, while its Total Debt to Total Assets stands at 49.23. Looking toward the future, this publicly-traded company’s Long-Term Debt to Equity is 155.42, and its Long-Term Debt to Total Capital is 54.17.

What about valuation? This company’s Enterprise Value to EBITDA is 6.09 and its Total Debt to EBITDA Value is 1.35. The Enterprise Value to Sales for this firm is now 0.49, and its Total Debt to Enterprise Value stands at 0.49. Guess’ Inc. [GES] has a Price to Book Ratio of 2.19, a Price to Cash Flow Ratio of 7.71 and P/E Ratio of 5.46. These metrics all suggest that Guess’ Inc. is more likely to generate a positive ROI.

Guess’ Inc. [GES] has 76.17M shares outstanding, amounting to a total market cap of 581.18M. Its stock price has been found in the range of 3.64 to 23.58. At its current price, it has moved down by -66.58% from its 52-week high, and it has moved up 116.48% from its 52-week low.

This stock’s Beta value is currently 1.68, which indicates that it is 9.61% more volatile that the wider market. This stock’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 47.74. This RSI score is good, suggesting this stock is neither overbought or oversold.

Conclusion: Is Guess’ Inc. [GES] a Reliable Buy?

Shares of Guess’ Inc. [GES], on the whole, present investors with both positive and negative signals. Wall Street analysts have mixed reviews when it comes to the 12-month price outlook, and this company’s financials show a combination of strengths and weaknesses. Based on the price performance, this investment is somewhat risky while presenting reasonable potential for ROI.

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Author: Kevin Freeman